As we step into the new year, it’s time to reflect on the progress of our 100k to 1m trading challenge over the past eight weeks. The journey has been both rewarding and challenging, with the most recent two weeks presenting a particularly tough market environment.
Market Overview: A Rollercoaster Ride
In the past two weeks, we faced an uncomfortable -23.17% drop across our portfolios. For comparison:
- Altcoins (benchmark): -17.43%
- Bitcoin: -8.33%
Despite these setbacks, our performance over the full eight weeks remains strong:
- Our portfolios: +39.32%
- Bitcoin: +32.83%
- Altcoins: +35.48%
While the recent drop has been steep, we are still ahead in cumulative returns. This could present a great entry point, but as always, only time will tell.
Portfolio Performance Breakdown
Here’s a closer look at how TrendBot, MarginBot, and Trend Tokens compared to Bitcoin and Altcoins:
|
Bot |
Past 8 Weeks |
Past 2 Weeks |
|
MarginBot 2.0 |
+58.20% |
-28.01% |
|
Margin10 |
+49.20% |
-7.96% |
|
TrendBot 2.0 |
+21.20% |
-27.63% |
|
Altcoins (benchmark) |
+35.48% |
-17.43% |
|
Bitcoin (benchmark) |
+32.83% |
-8.33% |
|
Total (TB, MB, TT) |
+39.32% |
-23.17% |
Key Highlights:
- TrendBot Breakout: Experienced the largest loss in the past two weeks at -37.5%.
- Margin10: Showed resilience with the smallest loss at -7.96%.
Detailed Portfolio Metrics
|
TrendBot 2.0 |
MarginBot 2.0 |
Trend Tokens |
Benchmarks |
|||||||
|
Date |
Vol30 Top15 |
Breakout |
LowVol20 |
Vol30 Top15 |
Breakout |
Margin10 |
Total |
Bitcoin |
Total2 (trillion) |
|
|
Nov 1, 2024 |
$15,009 |
$14,975 |
$15,001 |
$15,013 |
$15,003 |
$25,000 |
$100,001 |
$70,198 |
$0.916 |
|
|
Nov 15, 2024 |
$19,737 |
$17,703 |
$14,872 |
$21,101 |
$18,343 |
$29,751 |
$121,507 |
$87,339 |
$1.115 |
|
|
Dec 1, 2024 |
$29,259 |
$20,730 |
$21,423 |
$36,500 |
$21,881 |
$42,737 |
$172,530 |
96886 |
1.424 |
|
|
Dec 15, 2024 |
$32,641 |
$24,376 |
$17,825 |
$39,812 |
$26,156 |
$40,528 |
$181,338 |
101714 |
1.503 |
|
|
Jan 1, 2024 |
$25,878 |
$15,250 |
$13,415 |
$28,608 |
$18,866 |
$37,300 |
$139,317 |
93245 |
1.241 |
|
|
Past 2 week returns |
-20.72% |
-37.44% |
-24.74% |
-28.14% |
-27.87% |
-7.96% |
-23.17% |
-8.33% |
-17.43% |
|
|
Cummative returns |
72.4% |
1.84% |
-10.57% |
90.55% |
25.75% |
49.20% |
39.32% |
32.83% |
35.48% |
|
Reflections and Outlook
The past two weeks have been a reminder of the inherent volatility in crypto markets. However, the overall performance of our trading systems continues to show promise, with returns that remain competitive against both Bitcoin and altcoins.
While we can’t predict the future, these moments of decline often create opportunities for those who can navigate them with patience and discipline.